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GOP bounce: McCain overtakes Obama
Sunday September 7th, 2008
John McCain has overtaken Barack Obama in the Gallup daily tracking poll and has his highest level of support in that poll since early May.
McCain leads Obama 48 percent to 45 percent among registered voters, by Gallup’s measure. McCain has so far earned the same convention bounce as Obama,
though at a more rapid pace.
Obama peaked at a 5-point convention bounce in polling published last Tuesday. He was ahead 49 percent to 43 percent in the Gallup poll conducted before the
Republican convention. He then soared to 50 percent for the first time of the election, by Gallup’s measure, while McCain fell to 42 percent.
McCain’s 5-point to 6-point bounce so far, like Obama’s, remains at par with historical expectations. In the 22 major-party conventions since 1964, the nominee
walked away with, on average in most years, a 5-point to 6-point uptick in Gallup’s polls. The presidential polling will likely remain in flux until the middle of next week.
Today's Gallup report continues to include some polling conducted prior to McCain's acceptance speech. Tomorrow's report will be the first to include interviews
solely conducted following the close of the GOP convention.
Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll also reported today that when "leaners” are included, Obama and McCain are now tied at 48 percent. That means that, by
Rasmussen’s measure, Obama’s 6-point bounce has been erased. CBS News polling had shown the same outcome midway through the GOP convention.
McCain’s resurgence in the polls comes as Nielsen Media Research reported that the Republican convention earned more television viewers than the Democratic
convention. Republicans earned an average audience of 34.5 million, while Democrats earned an average viewership of 30.2 million.
Obama, McCain and GOP vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin all earned a similar and record audience for their convention speeches, each nearing about 40
million viewers.
McCain, who tried to establish himself as the Republican front-runner by
spending gobs of money on field offices across the country and hiring as
many experienced political operatives as possible, overhauled his staff after
his second-quarter fundraising report revealed his near-broke campaign
was having trouble raising money. While the former fighter pilot's support for
the troop "surge" in Iraq and military know-how has been a political plus for
the Republican base, his support for the failed immigration bill - which would
have legalized the status of undocumented aliens - alienated the
Republican base.
As of August, he was stuck behind Romney, Giuliani, and Fred Thompson in
nearly all state and national polls. His campaign now focuses on pressing
the flesh in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, in an attempt to try to
overcome his money woes with early primary momentum. During McCain's
2000 presidential bid, his campaign focused on campaign finance overhaul
proposals, aimed at limiting the influence of money in politics. Bush signed
the campaign finance law in 2002, but many conservatives continue to voice
anger and frustration at what they consider to be the measure's restrictions
on free speech.
Only three years removed from the Illinois state Senate, Obama's
lightning-quick rise to the top echelon of Democratic presidential candidates
reflects a public persona that, to supporters, embodies hopeful politics.
Obama has emerged as a chief rival to Clinton, surpassing her
second-quarter fundraising numbers by raising $32.8 million, a $5.8 million
lead. He has also garnered the financial support of multiple Hollywood
celebrities.
During his two-plus years in the U.S. Senate, Obama has amassed a
generally liberal voting record, though his rhetoric often employs a more
moderate approach. The biggest difference between Obama and Clinton
remains his early opposition to the Iraq war, which she voted to authorize.
Still, Obama has not been tested in a competitive general election, and
political skeptics question whether Obama's promise of change will
overshadow his lack of experience in the national political arena. Clinton
warned voters he was "naive" on foreign policy after Obama said he would
meet with the leaders of enemy countries without conditions.
In turn, Obama has skewered fellow Democratic contenders for accepting
campaign donations from lobbyists and not clearly stating their stances on
the war in Iraq.
Biden challenges Palin to take questions
Joe Biden
Biden aides say that his longtime view is that life begins at conception.
Photo: AP
Joe Biden is accusing the McCain campaign of sequestering Sarah Palin, his counterpart on the Republican ticket, and challenged her Sunday to sit for network
interviews.
“She's a smart, tough politician,” Biden told Tom Brokaw in a “Meet the Press” interview live from Wilmington, Del. “So I think she's going to be formidable. Eventually,
she's going to have to sit in front of you like I'm doing and have done. Eventually, she's going to have to answer questions and not be sequestered. Eventually, she's
going to have to answer on the record.”
The McCain campaign says Palin will eventually do interviews, but none are scheduled.
Biden, too, took a weekend off from the Sunday shows after he was named as running mate for Barack Obama, although Biden appeared on CBS' "60 Minutes."
During the interview, Biden also repeated his previous view that “life begins at the moment of conception,” the same position as John McCain.
“For me, as a Roman Catholic, I’m prepared to accept the teachings of my church,” Biden told Brokaw. “I’m prepared, as a matter of faith, to accept that life begins at
the moment of conception.
“But that is my judgment. For me to impose that judgment on everyone else, who is equally — and maybe even more — devout than I am, seems to me is
inappropriate in a pluralistic society.”
Aides said that is Biden’s longtime position — the answer he always gives.
Brokaw asked Biden how he could have that view and also vote for abortion rights.
“No … I have voted against curtailing the right — criminalizing abortion,” Biden replied. “I have voted against telling everyone else in the country that they have to
accept my religiously based view that it’s a moment of conception."
See Also
* Sarah Palin has yet to meet the press
* GOP ticket makes its Western debut
* Pre-Palin, a VP pick judged on looks
Biden also said:
• Iraq will only be stable under Obama, not under McCain.
Brokaw asked: “Five years from now, do you think Iraq will have relative stability and democratic principles in the central government?”
Biden replied: “If there is an Obama-Biden administration, yeah. If there is a John McCain administration and Sarah Palin, I think it's probably not going to happen.
Because John does not view this in terms of the region. I never heard him speak about how he's going to integrate Iraq into the region, where you have these
competing interests that exist.”
• McCain’s claim to being a change agent is “malarkey.”
“I heard Sarah Palin and John McCain talk about change,” Biden said. “Tell me one single thing they’re going to do — on the economy, foreign policy, taxes, that is
going to be change. Name me one! This is such malarkey — 90 percent of the time, John votes with the president.”
• Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman (I-Conn.), a former Democratic ticketmate who is now a vocal McCain supporter, is going to have a tough choice about which party to
caucus with in January.
“Every time I see Joe these days, I walk up and I say, ‘Say it ain’t so, Joe — say it ain’t so,’” Biden said. “Look, Joe has made a judgment. Joe is going to have to make
a tougher judgment when this election is over.”
Joe Biden
Biden aides say that his longtime view is that life begins at conception.
Photo: AP
Joe Biden is accusing the McCain campaign of sequestering Sarah Palin, his counterpart on the Republican ticket, and challenged her Sunday to sit for network
interviews.
“She's a smart, tough politician,” Biden told Tom Brokaw in a “Meet the Press” interview live from Wilmington, Del. “So I think she's going to be formidable. Eventually,
she's going to have to sit in front of you like I'm doing and have done. Eventually, she's going to have to answer questions and not be sequestered. Eventually, she's
going to have to answer on the record.”
The McCain campaign says Palin will eventually do interviews, but none are scheduled.
Biden, too, took a weekend off from the Sunday shows after he was named as running mate for Barack Obama, although Biden appeared on CBS' "60 Minutes."
During the interview, Biden also repeated his previous view that “life begins at the moment of conception,” the same position as John McCain.
“For me, as a Roman Catholic, I’m prepared to accept the teachings of my church,” Biden told Brokaw. “I’m prepared, as a matter of faith, to accept that life begins at
the moment of conception.
“But that is my judgment. For me to impose that judgment on everyone else, who is equally — and maybe even more — devout than I am, seems to me is
inappropriate in a pluralistic society.”
Aides said that is Biden’s longtime position — the answer he always gives.
Brokaw asked Biden how he could have that view and also vote for abortion rights.
“No … I have voted against curtailing the right — criminalizing abortion,” Biden replied. “I have voted against telling everyone else in the country that they have to
accept my religiously based view that it’s a moment of conception."
See Also
* Sarah Palin has yet to meet the press
* GOP ticket makes its Western debut
* Pre-Palin, a VP pick judged on looks
Biden also said:
• Iraq will only be stable under Obama, not under McCain.
Brokaw asked: “Five years from now, do you think Iraq will have relative stability and democratic principles in the central government?”
Biden replied: “If there is an Obama-Biden administration, yeah. If there is a John McCain administration and Sarah Palin, I think it's probably not going to happen.
Because John does not view this in terms of the region. I never heard him speak about how he's going to integrate Iraq into the region, where you have these
competing interests that exist.”
• McCain’s claim to being a change agent is “malarkey.”
“I heard Sarah Palin and John McCain talk about change,” Biden said. “Tell me one single thing they’re going to do — on the economy, foreign policy, taxes, that is
going to be change. Name me one! This is such malarkey — 90 percent of the time, John votes with the president.”
• Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman (I-Conn.), a former Democratic ticketmate who is now a vocal McCain supporter, is going to have a tough choice about which party to
caucus with in January.
“Every time I see Joe these days, I walk up and I say, ‘Say it ain’t so, Joe — say it ain’t so,’” Biden said. “Look, Joe has made a judgment. Joe is going to have to make
a tougher judgment when this election is over.”
